UD San Fernando vs Arucas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
UDG
0 - 2
UDS
16%
21%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
UDS
1 - 0
LAN
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 3
UDS
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
UDS
2 - 1
VSB
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
UDS
1 - 2
TAM
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ARU
0 - 1
UNV
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 1
ARU
55%
22%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
ARU
2 - 3
UDL
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VSB
3 - 0
ARU
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ARU
3 - 0
PAN
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |