UD Plus Ultra vs Zoriteño A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PUL
4 - 2
FMO
54%
21%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
PUL
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 0
PGA
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PUL
2 - 1
LOG
60%
20%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 2
PUL
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zoriteño A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 3
ZUR
12%
17%
71%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FMO
4 - 2
ZOR
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ZOR
0 - 2
ELA
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ZOR
3 - 1
VAL
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PGA
2 - 1
ZOR
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |