UD Plus Ultra vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+242%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUL
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PUL
0 - 1
MIA
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FMO
0 - 5
PUL
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PUL
5 - 1
LOG
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PUL
4 - 1
PUE
90%
7%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDP
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 2
CDD
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
CDD
13%
18%
69%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDD
3 - 1
TAL
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CDD
0 - 2
ARR
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |