Petrelense vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
68.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
PIN
1 - 2
PET
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
PET
65%
19%
16%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PET
0 - 1
ORI
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
PET
0 - 6
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
PET
0 - 3
THD
21%
21%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
RED
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
RED
4 - 0
BEN
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 0
RED
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
RED
1 - 2
UNI
53%
23%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 3
RED
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |