UD Pavía vs Carboneras Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Pavía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NIJ
3 - 3
PAV
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAA
3 - 1
PAV
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 0
ADR
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
PEJ
0 - 0
PAV
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 0
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carboneras Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 4
HUE
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
HUE
7 - 0
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PDG
8%
16%
77%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
17%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
ATF
12%
17%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |