Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 3-5
Las Palmas vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
UDL
4 - 0
SLA
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
VCF
3 - 1
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 2
UDL
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 2
RAC
70%
18%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
SEV
0 - 1
UDL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
2 - 0
RMA
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
RMA
0 - 0
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
RMA
4 - 2
UDL
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1979 |
RMA
3 - 1
SLA
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 1
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |