Segunda Liga round 18

UD Oliveirense vs Varzim analysis

UD Oliveirense Varzim
64 ELO 63
8.6% Tilt -0.7%
2945º General ELO ranking 3452º
50º Country ELO ranking 58º
ELO win probability
47.9%
UD Oliveirense
26.1%
Draw
26%
Varzim

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
UD Oliveirense
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
26%
Win probability
Varzim
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Oliveirense
-14%
+21%
Varzim

ELO progression

UD Oliveirense
Varzim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Oliveirense
UD Oliveirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2020
OLI
UD Oliveirense
1 - 1
Feirense
FEI
46%
26%
28%
63 65 2 0
12 Jan. 2020
NAC
Nacional
0 - 0
UD Oliveirense
OLI
59%
23%
18%
62 70 8 +1
04 Jan. 2020
OLI
UD Oliveirense
1 - 3
Mafra
MAF
46%
26%
29%
63 64 1 -1
28 Dec. 2019
ACA
Académica
4 - 3
UD Oliveirense
OLI
40%
27%
33%
64 62 2 -1
22 Dec. 2019
OLI
UD Oliveirense
2 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
43%
26%
30%
63 65 2 +1

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2020
CAS
Casa Pia AC
2 - 2
Varzim
VAR
19%
27%
54%
64 49 15 0
14 Jan. 2020
FCP
Porto
2 - 1
Varzim
VAR
84%
12%
4%
64 90 26 0
10 Jan. 2020
VAR
Varzim
1 - 2
Academico Viseu
ACV
43%
28%
30%
65 64 1 -1
05 Jan. 2020
VIL
Vilafranquense
0 - 3
Varzim
VAR
31%
29%
40%
64 56 8 +1
17 Dec. 2019
VAR
Varzim
2 - 1
Anadia
ANA
68%
20%
11%
64 50 14 0