Mutilvera vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
UDM
4 - 1
AVA
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AZK
0 - 1
UDM
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDM
27%
28%
45%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 0
LAG
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 3
UDM
40%
27%
33%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 3
PEÑ
15%
24%
61%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LAG
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
RIV
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
TUD
3 - 1
PEÑ
18%
25%
56%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -2 |