Mutilvera vs Lourdes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MEN
0 - 1
UDM
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
UDM
3 - 0
RIV
54%
24%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
UDM
24%
26%
50%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
LOU
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
0 - 1
LOU
34%
27%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LOU
4 - 0
HUA
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CDA
1 - 1
LOU
41%
25%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
LOU
2 - 1
OBE
52%
24%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |