Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
UDM
36%
28%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
UDM
2 - 0
AOI
56%
25%
19%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
VAL
2 - 0
UDM
70%
19%
12%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
UDM
4 - 2
RIV
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
OBE
2 - 1
UDM
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
ALU
1 - 0
MUR
49%
26%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
LAG
2 - 3
ALU
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ALU
0 - 1
CHA
54%
25%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 1
ALU
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ALU
2 - 1
SJU
60%
23%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |