Mutilvera vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CDB
0 - 1
UDM
31%
28%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 1
OBE
38%
29%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
IZA
1 - 0
UDM
35%
29%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UDM
2 - 0
HUA
60%
25%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALU
59%
25%
17%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ALU
0 - 1
IZA
42%
27%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
HUA
0 - 2
ALU
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ALU
2 - 2
LAG
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 2
ALU
43%
28%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ALU
1 - 0
TUD
39%
27%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |