UD Marinaleda vs Peñarroya Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
UDT
1 - 2
MAR
48%
27%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
UDM
54%
24%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
UTR
4 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAM
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PIL
2 - 0
PEN
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ARH
0 - 1
PEN
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
PEN
0 - 2
ANT
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |