UD Marinaleda vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
BAE
1 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
COR
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
UTR
4 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -3 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
LEB
0 - 3
MAR
31%
28%
41%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 2
NUE
56%
25%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
UDM
3 - 1
CAM
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
PIL
2 - 1
UDM
47%
26%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
UDM
1 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ANT
2 - 0
UDM
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
UDM
2 - 0
PIL
41%
27%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |