Segunda RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 1-0
UD Logroñés vs Guijuelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
UDL
19%
24%
56%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 3
UDL
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
4 - 1
CFB
81%
15%
5%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
GER
0 - 2
UDL
21%
28%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 0
RSO
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Guijuelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 0
UDL
19%
24%
56%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 2
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GIM
3 - 1
CDG
32%
27%
41%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 0
RCV
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 2
CDG
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |