UD Llanera vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
9º
4º
48
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Llanera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LEA
1 - 1
UDL
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 1
PRA
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
COV
2 - 1
UDL
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAU
0 - 0
TUI
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CEA
3 - 2
CAU
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 0
RTI
65%
21%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 1
CON
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAU
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |