Segunda B . Jor. 18

Lanzarote vs Marbella FC analysis

Lanzarote Marbella FC
57 ELO 45
22.2% Tilt -10.5%
5985º General ELO ranking 3940º
201º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
73.4%
Lanzarote
16.5%
Draw
10.1%
Marbella FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
Lanzarote
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.1%
Win probability
Marbella FC
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lanzarote
+33%
+55%
Marbella FC

ELO progression

Lanzarote
Marbella FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lanzarote
Lanzarote
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2003
LAN
Lanzarote
0 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
22%
25%
53%
58 86 28 0
14 Dec. 2003
CDL
CD Linares
1 - 1
Lanzarote
LAN
30%
30%
40%
58 48 10 0
07 Dec. 2003
LAN
Lanzarote
0 - 0
AgD Ceuta
AGD
62%
21%
17%
59 56 3 -1
29 Nov. 2003
VIL
CF Villanovense
0 - 3
Lanzarote
LAN
26%
29%
46%
58 36 22 +1
23 Nov. 2003
LAN
Lanzarote
3 - 1
CF Extremadura
EXT
61%
21%
18%
57 57 0 +1

Matches

Marbella FC
Marbella FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Dec. 2003
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 2
Universidad LPGC
ULP
40%
27%
32%
44 54 10 0
06 Dec. 2003
BET
Betis Deportivo
1 - 0
Marbella FC
MAR
53%
24%
23%
45 45 0 -1
30 Nov. 2003
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 0
Écija Balompié
ECI
40%
27%
34%
45 51 6 0
23 Nov. 2003
MAR
Marbella FC
0 - 0
Vecindario
VEC
52%
25%
24%
45 46 1 0
16 Nov. 2003
CDL
CD Linares
1 - 1
Marbella FC
MAR
47%
28%
26%
44 48 4 +1
X