Lanzarote vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
LAN
2 - 2
TAL
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
UBC
3 - 1
LAN
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
LAN
2 - 2
ULP
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAN
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LAN
2 - 1
BEN
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
RAY
0 - 3
RMA
25%
24%
51%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
SPA
2 - 3
RMA
25%
24%
52%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
RMA
2 - 1
SEV
80%
13%
7%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
ZAR
2 - 1
RMA
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
RMA
2 - 0
FCB
53%
22%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |