Lanzarote vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 0
LAN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
LAN
3 - 3
CPC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 0
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
LAN
4 - 0
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SEV
2 - 0
LAN
40%
28%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
ULP
28%
29%
43%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BET
4 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
ECI
26%
28%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDL
27%
28%
45%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |