Lanzarote vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
PXD
1 - 4
LAN
25%
30%
45%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
LEG
2 - 0
LAN
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 3
RMC
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 2
LAN
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 0
LAN
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
CER
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDF
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 3
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CAS
7 - 0
UDI
59%
24%
17%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 0
CDT
61%
24%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |