Girod vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
CAR
2 - 0
UDG
48%
22%
31%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
UDG
3 - 1
GUA
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
LEG
0 - 0
UDG
83%
10%
7%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
CDT
2 - 1
UDG
70%
16%
15%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
UDG
7 - 0
UBC
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ARA
6 - 0
CDT
72%
15%
13%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
UBC
1 - 0
ARA
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ARA
2 - 0
PAR
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
RAY
2 - 2
ARA
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
ARA
6 - 2
CUA
67%
17%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |