Girod vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
42.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
UDG
1 - 2
SEG
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
UBC
1 - 2
UDG
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
UDG
2 - 1
CAR
42%
23%
36%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
AGR
3 - 0
UDG
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
UDG
1 - 4
PUL
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CDT
5 - 0
UBC
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
CAR
0 - 2
CDT
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CDT
2 - 0
AGR
80%
12%
9%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
PUL
4 - 0
CDT
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CDT
5 - 2
MAN
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |