Girod vs Agromán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
PUL
2 - 0
UDG
93%
5%
2%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
UDG
3 - 2
MAN
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
MAN
3 - 2
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
UDG
2 - 2
GUA
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
UDG
0 - 2
CUA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Agromán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
AGR
0 - 0
UBC
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
CAR
3 - 1
AGR
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
SEG
1 - 0
AGR
58%
20%
23%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
AGR
0 - 8
PUL
43%
23%
35%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
AGR
4 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |