Girod vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
MAN
3 - 1
UDG
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
UDG
1 - 2
MAN
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
GUA
4 - 3
UDG
72%
15%
12%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
UDG
0 - 1
PAR
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
RAY
3 - 0
UDG
80%
12%
7%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
PUL
9 - 1
UBC
91%
6%
3%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
PUL
41%
22%
37%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
PUL
1 - 1
AGR
90%
7%
3%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
RJA
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
SFE
3 - 1
PUL
73%
14%
12%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |