Pref. Murcia Normal Season Round 5

UD Los Garres vs Lorca Deportiva B analysis

UD Los Garres Lorca Deportiva B
22 ELO 25
-17.5% Tilt -17.1%
10729º General ELO ranking 12074º
780º Country ELO ranking 1400º
ELO win probability
37.2%
UD Los Garres
23.3%
Draw
39.5%
Lorca Deportiva B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
UD Los Garres
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.5%
Win probability
Lorca Deportiva B
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UD Los Garres
+18%
-41%
Lorca Deportiva B

ELO progression

UD Los Garres
Lorca Deportiva B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UD Los Garres
UD Los Garres
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
UDL
UD Los Garres
3 - 2
Unión Molinense B
UMO
65%
19%
15%
23 16 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
CAP
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
1 - 2
UD Los Garres
UDL
46%
25%
29%
22 23 1 +1
14 Sep. 2024
UDL
UD Los Garres
0 - 1
AD Lorqui
LOR
60%
21%
19%
22 18 4 0
07 Sep. 2024
CDL
CD Lumbreras
1 - 0
UD Los Garres
UDL
47%
24%
29%
23 22 1 -1
30 Aug. 2024
UDL
UD Los Garres
1 - 2
Santomera
SAN
33%
26%
42%
23 25 2 0

Matches

Lorca Deportiva B
Lorca Deportiva B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2024
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
1 - 2
CAP Ciudad de Murcia
CAP
58%
21%
21%
25 23 2 0
22 Sep. 2024
LOR
AD Lorqui
0 - 3
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
32%
22%
47%
24 18 6 +1
14 Sep. 2024
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
0 - 0
CD Lumbreras
CDL
51%
22%
28%
24 23 1 0
08 Sep. 2024
RAA
El Raal
1 - 1
Lorca Deportiva B
LOR
22%
21%
57%
24 17 7 0
19 May. 2024
LOR
Lorca Deportiva B
1 - 0
CD Lumbreras
CDL
55%
21%
24%
24 21 3 0