UD Los Garres vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Los Garres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 2
UDL
50%
24%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
3 - 4
ABA
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 0
UMO
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
JUM
0 - 2
UDL
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 2
CHU
22%
24%
54%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 4
PLU
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
YEC
4 - 2
VIL
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 3
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 1
LOR
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RAA
1 - 3
VIL
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |