Fuerteventura vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuerteventura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALC
5 - 1
UDF
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
UDF
0 - 1
AGU
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
UDF
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UDF
1 - 2
IMP
44%
26%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDF
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ULP
2 - 1
RMC
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 1
ALC
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
RMC
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 2
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
IMP
2 - 1
RMC
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |