UD Fornacense vs UP Segureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+232%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
SPR
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 2
CDV
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CDB
1 - 2
UDF
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 1
RHI
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 3
UDF
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UP Segureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CAM
5 - 2
SEG
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SEG
1 - 3
SPR
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 4
SEG
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
SEG
56%
20%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SEG
1 - 1
CDV
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |