UD Fornacense vs San Francisco de Olivenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+384%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RHI
2 - 1
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 2
ACE
47%
21%
32%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EXT
3 - 0
UDF
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
UDF
1 - 0
SEG
39%
22%
39%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
UDF
35%
21%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Francisco de Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
SFO
75%
15%
11%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SFO
1 - 2
RHI
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACE
1 - 1
SFO
34%
22%
45%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SFO
2 - 0
EXT
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SEG
3 - 2
SFO
45%
22%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |