UD Fornacense vs Hernando De Soto A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
SAT
2 - 2
UDF
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
UDF
5 - 2
GUA
22%
21%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ZAL
1 - 1
UDF
34%
24%
42%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
UDF
1 - 3
GIM
42%
23%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
UDF
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hernando De Soto A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
SFO
63%
18%
19%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LAA
2 - 0
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
HER
0 - 2
GRA
16%
19%
65%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
HER
1 - 2
UDF
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SJP
2 - 8
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |