UD Fornacense vs Oliva 2023 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+216%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDB
16%
19%
66%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
UDF
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 1
ACE
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EME
3 - 3
UDF
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oliva 2023
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
3 - 0
OLV
76%
14%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 2
BEL
20%
21%
60%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
OLV
1 - 0
EME
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
20 - 0
OLV
81%
12%
8%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 12
CAT
10%
14%
77%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |