Ud Collerense vs Penya Ciutadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ud Collerense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SLL
0 - 1
UDC
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
UDC
3 - 1
UDI
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
UDC
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UDC
4 - 0
SFF
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SDF
0 - 1
UDC
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
PCE
1 - 2
CAM
42%
26%
32%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
PBL
2 - 0
PCE
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CDE
1 - 0
PCE
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SRF
0 - 0
PCE
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PCE
0 - 1
SLL
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |