UD Castros vs La Espina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
CAS
43%
22%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 4
MCU
37%
23%
39%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
CAS
76%
15%
8%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 4
RPR
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AVI
8 - 1
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
La Espina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
LES
1 - 5
AVI
12%
16%
72%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 0
LES
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
LES
2 - 1
CRN
34%
22%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
BOA
5 - 0
LES
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LES
0 - 3
HIS
20%
19%
61%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |