UD Castros vs Racing de Pravia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-79%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 1
CAS
53%
21%
26%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 5
AVL
11%
15%
75%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
CAS
86%
10%
5%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MCU
2 - 0
CAS
49%
23%
29%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 4
AST
13%
18%
69%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing de Pravia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RPR
4 - 1
HIS
43%
22%
36%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 1
RPR
50%
21%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 0
RPR
52%
20%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RPR
3 - 1
AVL
8%
13%
79%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
10 - 1
RPR
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |