UD Castros vs Navia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
30.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MCU
0 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
UAS
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 0
RGJ
60%
19%
20%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAS
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
MID
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Navia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NAI
2 - 2
TIN
68%
17%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 0
NAI
62%
18%
20%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GLM
1 - 1
NAI
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NAI
0 - 1
ABO
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 4
NAI
32%
21%
47%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |