UD Castros vs Cornellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+2172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
BOA
4 - 1
CAS
86%
11%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
HIS
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PRV
4 - 0
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
TAP
10%
18%
73%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LRN
2 - 1
CAS
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cornellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRN
0 - 2
AVI
10%
15%
76%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
CRN
47%
22%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CRN
1 - 2
BOA
12%
16%
73%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HIS
2 - 0
CRN
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CRN
2 - 3
PRV
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |