UD Castros vs CD Aboño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
TRE
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAI
1 - 2
CAS
57%
20%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
MCU
41%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
UAS
5 - 3
CAS
68%
17%
15%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aboño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ABO
2 - 1
TIN
52%
22%
26%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 2
ABO
58%
21%
22%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ABO
0 - 1
GLM
25%
22%
52%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ABO
2 - 2
CAS
49%
22%
29%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
ABO
64%
18%
18%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |