UD Castros vs Astur Vegadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Castros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 0
CAS
71%
16%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 2
BAR
28%
23%
49%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
PDV
2 - 2
CAS
78%
14%
9%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
MIR
35%
25%
40%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAS
66%
17%
17%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Astur Vegadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AST
0 - 3
POD
22%
23%
55%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HIS
1 - 1
AST
32%
25%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AST
3 - 1
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LUA
0 - 4
AST
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AST
1 - 1
TAP
18%
20%
62%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |