Carcer vs Genoves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ANN
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
FDF
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
RAF
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 0
LAL
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SUM
1 - 3
CAR
42%
21%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Genoves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 0
ANN
32%
23%
45%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FDF
3 - 3
GEN
75%
15%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
RAF
0 - 2
GEN
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GEN
0 - 2
UDC
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LAL
6 - 0
GEN
48%
24%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -3 |