Carcer vs Rafelguaraf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAR
35%
22%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
3 - 0
CAR
21%
19%
59%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
BEN
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
CAR
58%
20%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
OLL
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rafelguaraf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 2
ANN
28%
20%
52%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
FDF
2 - 0
RAF
35%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
XAT
0 - 2
RAF
47%
21%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RAF
1 - 3
EMF
20%
20%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAF
3 - 4
CAR
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |