Cacabelense vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 2
AVI
59%
24%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
TUR
3 - 1
CAC
58%
24%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CAC
2 - 1
CEL
61%
22%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
CAC
3 - 2
AVI
39%
25%
37%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GRA
3 - 2
CAC
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
NOI
2 - 1
TUR
53%
26%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
COM
1 - 1
NOI
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 0
NOI
58%
25%
17%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
NOI
2 - 1
GRA
45%
28%
27%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ALO
1 - 2
NOI
65%
22%
13%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |