Belen vs UD Sur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+232%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Belen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDL
2 - 0
BEL
76%
14%
9%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 4
GAT
59%
20%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 4
BEL
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEL
6 - 3
VIC
21%
20%
58%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PED
1 - 1
BEL
31%
23%
46%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
UDS
3 - 1
ARC
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
UDS
17%
20%
63%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
UDS
6 - 0
UNI
78%
14%
9%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 3
UDS
25%
22%
53%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CDL
4 - 2
UDS
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |