UD Arroyofresno B vs Fomento Alumni B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.7%
70.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Arroyofresno B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARF
1 - 4
LCM
20%
18%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IUA
8 - 2
ARF
84%
10%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARF
4 - 0
AUL
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +3 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
5 - 1
ARF
76%
13%
11%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ARF
1 - 4
VAL
49%
20%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAL
0 - 7
FOM
19%
17%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FOM
2 - 3
IDP
37%
22%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOM
43%
20%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
FOM
0 - 3
CMM
43%
21%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AUA
0 - 5
FOM
13%
15%
71%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | +1 |