Almería Sub 19 vs Marbella FC Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
9º
3º
45
5º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
82 | 82 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
76.5% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 57 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almería Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
ALA
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEV
0 - 0
UDA
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
CD2
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
ELC
73%
18%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ALG
0 - 2
UDA
8%
15%
78%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UDM
1 - 1
ALG
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SÉN
1 - 1
UDM
49%
24%
27%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CDV
0 - 2
UDM
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UDM
1 - 1
TOM
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
CDS
1 - 1
UDM
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |