Alginet B vs Carcer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alginet B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALG
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 4
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SUE
1 - 1
ALG
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ALG
3 - 1
LAL
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 1
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Carcer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ALG
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 1
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 5
EMF
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 0
CAR
54%
22%
25%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
4 - 0
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |