Alar vs CD Velilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 2
ALA
39%
21%
41%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 2
VDB
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
ALA
59%
19%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ATA
2 - 1
ALA
46%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 2
AST
40%
22%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AST
5 - 1
CDV
81%
11%
7%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CDV
1 - 3
CER
8%
15%
77%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VIL
4 - 0
CDV
27%
20%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CDV
1 - 3
MON
20%
20%
60%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
CDV
53%
21%
26%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |