UCV Moquegua vs Carlos Stein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
61.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+269%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCV Moquegua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
BIN
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 63 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 4
UCV
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 1
UCV
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 63 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 1
SAM
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
LOS
4 - 2
UCV
72%
19%
10%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Carlos Stein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 2
SAM
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 4
UCV
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 0
FCS
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 2
BIN
10%
19%
72%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 8
LLA
8%
17%
75%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | -1 |