Ukraine U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 1
UKR
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
UKR
5 - 1
MLT
80%
15%
6%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
UKR
2 - 0
SVN
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
UKR
24%
26%
50%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
0 - 1
LTU
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 3
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
3 - 4
LTU
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
LTU
1 - 0
UKR
11%
18%
71%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +2 |