UCF vs USF Athletics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
TMP
0 - 3
UCF
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SMU
1 - 2
UCF
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
3 - 2
TUL
51%
21%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UCF
0 - 3
MPH
86%
10%
5%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 3
UCF
16%
19%
65%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
USF Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SFB
0 - 4
SMU
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 1
MPH
54%
21%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TMP
0 - 3
SFB
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TUL
4 - 0
SFB
77%
14%
9%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
SFB
2 - 3
UCF
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |