AlbinoLeffe vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
3 - 1
RAV
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 2
ABN
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
ABN
0 - 0
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 2
ABN
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ABN
2 - 0
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 2
MOD
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 0
PIA
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GRO
0 - 2
MOD
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |