Ubon UMT vs Royal Thai Fleet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ubon UMT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LAM
2 - 2
UMT
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
UMT
2 - 0
SON
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
THA
1 - 1
UMT
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
UMT
0 - 0
SIN
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PTT
0 - 2
UMT
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Royal Thai Fleet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SIS
2 - 0
ARM
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
2 - 0
SIA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
3 - 4
BAN
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +5 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARM
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 3
RAT
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -5 |